JJE comments

Ironic these two vassals of Washington would air their thought bubbles at a meeting of the world’s most aggressive racketeering cartel run by and for the Atlanticists.

When told to jump, they say 'how high?'.

Oh, I see.

Poland is upset that others can invite friendly countries in to help them actually defend themselves and is essentially the pot calling the kettle black.

How convenient.

Warsaw is upset because extreme elements there want to, using NATO as a pretext/cover, invade and annex Belarus (along with Kaliningrad and west Ukraine) under cover of some 'peace keeping' smokescreen or worse. Polish generals and the political class have long dreamt of this and say it not too unquietly.

Good on China for helping Belarus protect themselves from Polish/NATO aggression.

As usual the truth is the reverse:

NATO has become a decisive enabler of Washington's war effort in Ukraine since the 2014 coup and continues to pose an existential threat to Russia and to security of non-aligned countries for much longer in general.

Moscow launched a full-scale strategic counteroffensive in Feb of 2022 in defense against the world’s most aggressive racketeering cartel which had hijacked a piece of strategic real estate with the end game to menace Moscow.

The Atlanticists want China to play the little errand boy role and help them out on Ukraine. But the truth is Beijing would be the next victim of NATO because they are next in the firing line; they under the truth of the above and the weasel words coming out of the west.

Western hegemony is what is at stake here - meaning the US with the other as willing supplicants - and those Atlanticists will never allow or treat another country/continent, China, India or whoever as equals; they are determined to preserve their unipolar neo-colonialist power as the world transitions to multi-polar fairness.

How exactly is Kyiv going to join NATO with 25% of the country gone and counting?

They probably can lay some fresh concrete over a damaged runway.

Question is what concrete as it was sold off on the side and any funds are/were embezzled.

OK.

The hysterics of certain quarters relating to that Chinese coast guard vessel which went into Japanese waters a few weeks ago look absurd now; surely that must be reclassified as innocent passage, if not freedom of navigation.

This is a completely different kettle of fish: a Japanese warship brazenly entering Chinese waters on an unannounced mission to spy on military drills, which is a blatant provocation from a known belligerent.

Probably the cartel boss egged on their proxy to do it.

Few things here:

F-16s won't change the calculus on the battlefield. Russia will win this conflict hands down. There won't be a "strategic defeat" inflicted on Moscow.

The gaslighting about the now "irreversible path" to NATO membership continues, which is not only reversible; it never was in the forward direction to it begin with, let alone on a 'path'.

The truth is Ukraine has been sent up a long brown creek without a paddle in its role for and by the west as a usable proxy, which it has played to a tee, and in the future to be discarded.

Moscow gets a veto by default and it won't happen. Kyiv-regime forces have to push the RFAF back to 1991 borders and if one subscribes to that fantasy, then you've been drinking too much lemonade.

That main photo looks kind of creepy with Joe on the two big screens.

A vote for Biden is a vote for her.

Everyone knows Joe won't last four more years.

OK. Let's assume for a second the claim of an S-500 holds water. Then one must ponder why the Kerch bridge still stands.

Clearly Kyiv-sources make these sorts of wild assertions.

This is a much superior analysis:

https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/bombshell-report-claims-russian-casualties

RFAF have been hitting airfields all over the country for the last few months.

They will have to operate in Ukraine a few at a time while playing a game of hide-and-seek from Russian surveillance and inevitable missile strikes. Assumably most will be kept in storage at NATO airbases and ferried in when needed.

Any sorties launched from those airbases will not be covered by Article 5: the hotheads in NATO surely won't be that irresponsible, especially with nuclear capable fighters.

Anyone should be able to discern that a token amount of these will not change the overall calculus of the battlefield.

A senior NATO official said this week that Ukraine had not yet amassed the munitions and personnel it needs to mount its own large-scale offensive operations.

Hints at the overall Achilles heel Kyiv-regime forces now find themselves in - lack of manpower. There will be no future mass counter offensives as in the spring/summer of 2023; manpower has been spent and drained away.

All you have to do is "look at a map" now.

Oh, I see.

Certain quarters dismissed a map posted earlier which directly contradicted certain assertions, despite it being unequivocal and from the most reliable source.

How convenient.

Hands across America again for Zelensky and yet another international cope conference designed to bolster egos in the face of reality. Look who's talking - the guy who put his foot in it at the debate, now hiding behind a teleprompter.

The night of July 8th was a disaster for NATO AD systems in Ukraine. The ground, sea and air launched integrated attack was enormous, effective and well thought out; they are attempting to coverup the losses and paper over it with a hysterical narrative which happens before every international conference of this nature.

Key point is to watch the actual geolocated videos of the strikes filmed by locals.

What is left over of Ukraine will never be allowed to join NATO. Moscow won't allow it.

Military drills are a good thing remember and important for regional peace and future reunification.

Always keep in mind that Taiwan lacks UN recognition as an independent, sovereign state.

Less countries of earth even recognize them with official diplomatic relations than the breakaway regions Russia is accused of propping up.

China's position of reunification is fully consistent with international law. Not to mention the positions of certain quarters who advocate particular lands elsewhere should be reunited with force.

Important to acknowledge this whole thing began with SK permitting, if not orchestrating, a series of provocations that caused blowback.

Seoul is the offender here and it knows it, thus playing the victim. There's been a distinct honesty deficit out of the incumbent government there recently which even SK citizens observe.

Being confined to a rusty, asbestos ridden hulk that is illegally grounded is a virtual death sentence. Kudos for facilitating the rescue of this victim.

Important to observe Taiwan also claims the Second Thomas Shoal and their overall claim in the SCS matches Beijing's. Vietnam also claims it too.

Certain quarters frequently conveniently ignore this fact.

Relevant to observe Zelensky has spent some time insulting Trump over the last few months. Referring to him as a "loser president" is the straw that will break the camel's back here. Particularly considering when there is already some blood in the water between them.

Will be interesting - he is obviously worried about being pushed under the bus.

The larger question: will the bus be stopped.

Yes, it does. Look at the UN's own map (website above includes two maps).

It doesn't matter that certain quarters have changed their tune for contemporary reasons.

https://www.un.org/geospatial/content/russian-federation

Here is the UN's official map of the Russian Federation from their website.

Notice the Kuril Islands are shaded in the same color as the rest of Russia (and in a different color to Japan).

This is proof the Kuril Islands are UN-recognized territory of the RF.

Notice when they say in the media, whether it be a government or semi-govt body they are quoting, they mention Crimea and Donbass as "illegally occupied/annexed/non UMN recognized" etc but never the same about the Kuril Islands (except Japan and a few vassals and the cartel boss) - no other countries see it that way. Even Japan doesn't go that far to argue against the actual UN.

How odd.

...you mean the Yalta Agreement.

Kishida has imperialist territorial ambitions of his own. He wants to annex the Kuril Islands which are UN recognized sovereign territory of the Russian Federation.

He should stop the sabre rattling himself and observe international law.

Negative - suggest brush up on history.

Tblisi never had control of them (the former of the two actually enjoyed autonomy as the Abkhaz Autonomous Soviet Socialist Republic).

Negative - suggest brush up on history.

Tblisi never had control of them (the former of the two actually enjoyed autonomy as the Abkhaz Autonomous Soviet Socialist Republic).

Illegal independence is illegal independence. If it's against international law then it's in violation and the conduct is illegal.

Always important to remember the UNSC voted to boot Taipei out and give it to Beijing.

No one opposed it, a bit like United Nations Security Council Resolution 21 or KFOR even.

RF did not "establish" any such thing.

Abkhazia and South Ossetia existed before the RF even existed you know... long before.

Zelensky made the main photo and, of course, he will be at the meeting.

Interesting fact: on the night of July 8th, when explosions thundered all over Ukraine in the rear areas, Zelensky left Ukraine for Poland a few hours before the raids started.

One may think this is coincidence, but he has never actually been in Kyiv during missile strikes and always traditionally leaves the country when strikes are imminent (massing of strategic aviation is not hard to detect).

Important to crucially note this is an 'ambassador' to an entity that lacks UN recognition and is not a valid, independent state.

Legality of this is somewhat dubious under international law, which means it does not comply with it.

RF has not annexed one square inch of territory from anyone between 1991 and 2014 - including Georgia. This is a fact. Indeed, no Georgian territory has been incorporated into the RF at all.

Annexations can be defensive. Look at Hawaii. They beat the others to the punch just like Crimea in 2014. Many other examples of this type of conduct.

Membership is highly unlikely while the conflict rages. However, the allies plan to present Ukraine with a “bridge” to membership that would further lay out next steps.

Highly unlikely means impossible. Highly unlikely also applies to the circumstances required for Kyiv to be eligible for NATO membership, which is to win the war hands-down, pushing the Russians back to 1991 borders - which also means impossible.

Any sensible person knows this is never going to happen now that Kyiv regime forces have/are being ground down, daily incremental gains made with the complete initiative held by RFAF and the vast mobilization of their economy/society to a war footing.

Moreover, Moscow has made plain that a truncated Ukraine rump state will be fully neutral and will never be permitted to join NATO. Kremlin will never allow it.

This is actually the root cause of the conflict. This 'bridge' is likely to be an obstacle to peace and an invitation for larger Russian gains.

Fleitz, who is visiting Seoul for meetings with South Korean researchers and officials including a vice foreign minister, said he was not speaking for Trump and instead offering his own assessment.

Important to note Fred Fleitz was one of the guys behind the template of that possible peace-negotiation plan this very same institute outlined a week or two ago.

His potential role and sway in a now very possible upcoming second Trump administration is far from clear.